Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Links 2018/10/23

"Controlling for a number of demographic and relationship characteristics, we find evidence that marriage duration is inversely associated with spending on the engagement ring and wedding ceremony." Link.

"80000 hours", which has spent years researching how to do the most good for the world by career choice, now has an official-ish summary of what they've converged on. Link. I was surprised that "earning to give", i.e. make a lot of money and give it to the best charities, has fallen in their rankings over time. This largely seems to be because they are prioritizing existential risk / improving the future over global poverty as the most important cause now. In questions of improving the future, the scarcest resource is not funding, but the number of good people working on it. With global poverty, the scarcest resource is probably still money. In particular, I found it interesting that one of their top recommendations is "being a China specialist".

An interesting point in why sexual abuse often seems rare to men and common to women: "Most men are not abusers, yet very large numbers of women have been abused. So if a man is an abuser, there is a good chance he has abused a fair number of women. That means many well-meaning men experience sexual abuse as a relatively rare phenomenon. They haven't done it, and most of their male friends haven't either. At the same time, most women have abuse, rape or #MeToo stories" Link.

And linked off the above link... WHO estimates that 1 in 20 deaths worldwide in 2016 was alcohol-related... Link.

Since around 1990, poor countries have been catching up with rich countries. "Looking at the 43 countries the World Bank classified as 'low income' in 1990, 65 percent have grown faster than the high-income average... The same is true for 82 percent of the 62 middle-income countries" ... "Neo-liberalism has been incredibly successful, essentially delivering on all of its promises of economic growth, declines in poverty, and peace." Link.

"Among refugees that entered the U.S. at ages 18-45, we follow respondents' outcomes over a 20-year period... (they) have much lower levels of education and poorer language skills than natives and outcomes are initially poor with low employment, high welfare use and low earnings. Outcomes improve considerably as refugees age. After 6 years in the country, these refugees work at higher rates than natives... (they) pay $21,000 more in taxes than they receive in benefits over their first 20 years in the U.S." Link. The American dream y'all.

Trump's Deputy Attorney General "discussed recruiting cabinet members to invoke the 25th Amendment to remove Mr. Trump from office". Link.

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